CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-08-07T12:00:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-08-07T12:00ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/40430/-1
CME Note: CME first seen to the West in SOHO LASCO C2 beginning at 2025-08-07T12:00Z, as well as by SOHO LASCO C3 and GOES CCOR-1 in later frames. This event is not clearly visible in STEREO A COR2 due to the location of the event. The source of this CME is an M3.9 flare from Active Region 14168 (N03W33) which peaked at 2025-08-07T11:31Z. This flare is visible in SDO AIA 94 and 131, along with field line opening visible in SDO AIA 171 and GOES SUVI 284, with additional dimming/EUV wave seen in SDO AIA 193 and 211. The arrival of this CME was not observed at L1.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-08-10T06:40Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 90.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 52.23 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-08-08T02:26Z
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